Regime AlphaPrices & policy
Inflation and interest rates
CPI inflation · year over yearEffective federal funds rate
- CPI inflation · YoY
- 3.35%
- Effective policy rate
- 3.63%
- Unemployment
- 4.1%
August 2026 observations · retrieved 14 September 2026
Real data / a closer look
The economic history
behind the questions.
Observed inflation, interest rates and unemployment. Every value has a source, every transformation is stated.
January 2020–August 2026 · monthly · retrieved 14 September 2026. This is economic context, not portfolio performance or a live feed.
Labor market
Unemployment
Percent of the civilian labor force · seasonally adjusted · BLS via FRED.
Inspect the evidence
Sources, dates
and calculation.
- Effective federal funds rate (FEDFUNDS) — Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Percent; Not seasonally adjusted; average of daily figures.
- Unemployment rate (UNRATE) — U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Percent; Seasonally adjusted.
- Consumer Price Index, all urban consumers, all items (CPIAUCSL) — U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Index 1982–1984=100; Seasonally adjusted.
What you are looking at
CPI inflation is 100 × (this month’s CPI / CPI 12 months earlier − 1). Policy and unemployment rates retain their published percent units. Missing October 2025 CPI and unemployment observations remain gaps; nothing is interpolated.
These are revised historical observations, not a point-in-time backtest. No portfolio holdings, investment returns or fitted regime labels are represented by these charts.
In the private app, your portfolio review uses its own supported price history and chosen model. Public macroeconomic context does not establish investment benefit.
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